Behold King Pigskin

In the United States today, sports are a focal point of our culture. Different sports can serve in different roles in our lives. Baseball, like a beloved family dog, is always there for you, never requiring your full attention. Football, like a new sports car, can't be overused so as to dull its sheen, but demands your full attention and works in a strict "weekends only" zone. Hockey (or heck, even soccer) like sushi, is for those with a sense of adventure and a curiosity to experience foreign cultures.

For a small part of December, each of the major four (five with soccer) American sports was active in some respect. The NHL and NFL (and soccer leagues around the globe) are in the middle of their regular seasons, the MLB is working through its winter meetings (featuring blockbuster signings of stars like Albert Pujols), and the NBA has been working its way back into the national stream of consciousness after being mired in a long players' union lockout. So the obvious question is: which sport is America's favorite?

Football - American football, of course - reigns supreme. And it's not even close. This past weekend's games are a testament to the amazing drama that surrounds the NFL, week in and week out. In the Houston television market, this is what a day as a football fan looks like, taking December 11th's schedule as an example:

Noon (CBS) - The Houston Texans (10-3), led by their undrafted rookie quarterback T.J. Yates, go into the Bengals' den and defeat Cincinnati (7-6), led by their own rookie quarterback Andy Dalton (a native Texan), on a last-second touchdown.

3:00 (F0x) - The AFC West-leading Denver Broncos (8-5), behind the leadership of their media-lightning-rod and consummate winner, quarterback Tim Tebow, outlast the Chicago Bears (7-6) in overtime in Denver. Thanks in part to the mile-high conditions, Broncos kicker Matt Prater hits two breathtaking, long field goals: a game-tying 59-yarder and the overtime 51-yarder.

7:30 (NBC) - In the only night game on the NFL schedule, two NFC East rivals meet in Dallas as the New York Giants (7-6) square off against the division-leading Cowboys (7-6). The teams trade blows for the entire game, ultimately ending in Giants defensive lineman Jason Pierre-Paul blocking Cowboys kicker Dan Bailey's potentially game-tying field goal in the game's waning moments. With the win, the Giants move into a tie with the Cowboys atop the NFC East.

Three games, three last-second finishes. Even amid four other major sports going through some pretty big news weeks (the Pujols signing, the drama surrounding New Orleans Hornets point guard Chris Paul as he seeks to be traded), the NFL captures all the headlines. How? The football that is being played on the field is simply...spectacular.

The Mile-High Messiah

Tim Tebow is a lightning rod. With his natural penchant for attracting critics and supporters alike, along with his leadership ability, it's a shame that Tebow can't be elected President in the future (he was born in Makati City, Philippines, to Baptist missionary parents). Outside of the sports media hotbeds of New York and Boston, very few players in any sport attract as much attention, positive or negative, as the Denver Broncos quarterback. The 1st round, 25th-overall 2010 NFL draft pick was viewed by some media personalities (like NBC's Tony Dungy) as being selected too low, and was viewed as drastically overrated by others (like ESPN NFL draft guru Mel Kiper Jr.).

After leading his team to a win this Thursday night over the New York Jets, Tim Tebow is 4-1 as an NFL starter. Given his 34-6 record as the quarterback at the University of Florida, an SEC powerhouse that plays few "easy" games each year, this should seem somewhat logical. However, Tebow finds his skills doubted and his successes undermined seemingly every week both by the media and public opinion.

Broncos coach John Fox and Executive Vice President of Football Operations (and legendary Broncos quarterback) John Elway have inherited Tim Tebow. Neither man was on staff when Tebow was drafted, and both were being skewered weekly in the local media during the Broncos' 1-4 start to the 2011 season. Public opinion can become an unstoppable wave of momentum, and it seems like Fox's hand was forced into benching starter Kyle Orton going into week 7.

On October 11th, the Broncos named Tebow the starting quarterback for their game against the Miami Dolphins, and the public got its wish. However, six days later, the Broncos traded 2010-Pro Bowl wide receiver Brandon Lloyd to the St. Louis Rams...for only a conditional 2012 draft pick.

In addition to stripping Tebow of his most talented and most reliable receiver, the Broncos front office had more thoughts concerning their newly-anointed "savior." Coach Fox took a buzzsaw to the playbook, removing complex pass plays, a staple to any NFL team, adding in numerous multiple-option running plays (usually only used in the collegiate or high school levels), and running a whopping 79% of their plays from the shotgun (as opposed to the "pro-style" formation of having a quarterback under center).

At first glance, this seems awfully nice of Fox: he's trying to put Tebow in the situations in which he excelled most as the Florida Gators' quarterback. However, put in a different light, it might seem that Fox is trying to bring Tebow's flaws to light. By "dumbing down" the playbook to Tebow's collegiate level, Fox is essentially pitting an amateur quarterback against professional defenses.

What do Fox and the Broncos front office stand to gain from showing Tebow as the rookie that he is? If public opinion falters in its support of Tebow, Fox and Elway could then have the freedom to put the team that they want on the field without backlash from their fans. I don't think that either Fox or Elway dislike Tebow as a person, nor do I think that either wants him to fail as a professional. However, the actions that have been taken by the Broncos as they relate to Tebow seem to be much like a father letting his son try something for the first time. He knows that the son isn't equipped to succeed, and that the son will return to the father humbled and hopefully eager to learn from the father's experience.

However, Tebow doesn't seem like the type to be obstinate in his talents. He seems humble and eager already, so why not treat him as such? Mr. Elway and Coach Fox, treat Tebow like an NFL quarterback. Feed him an NFL-style playbook, a little at a time. Force him to learn how to pass in a way that will allow him to succeed for years as your quarterback of the future. As all of America knows from his public "promise" following Florida's loss to the University of Mississippi in 2008, he is willing to play harder than anyone we've ever seen.

Super Megatron

Calvin Johnson has been out of his mind as a wide receiver for the 5-0 Detroit Lions this year. Nicknamed "Megatron" due to his machine-like performance and consistency, Johnson has been a major reason the Lions are heading into week 6 as one of only two undefeated teams in the NFL. Megatron has been on a record-setting pace to start the year: through 5 games, he has 9 touchdown passes, easily on pace to break Randy Moss's 2007 record of 23 TD grabs. The thought occured to me to statistically compare Johnson's stellar 2011 start to some of the all-time great receiving seasons, as well as comparing his year to that of his peers in the game today.

Here are the statistical numbers of Jerry Rice's 5 best scoring years, Randy Moss's 4 best, Cris Carter's and Terrell Owens' best, as well as some dominant Larry Fitzgerald seasons and Wes Welker's scorching start to this season. (YAC = yards after catch, and YAC wasn't computed as a stat until 1994)

Player	Rec/Game	Yds/gm	TD/gm	YAC/gm
86 Rice	5.375	98.125	0.9375
87 Rice	5.416666667	89.83333333	1.833333333
89 Rice	5.125	92.6875	1.0625
91 Rice	5	75.375	0.875
93 Rice	6.125	93.9375	0.9375
95 Carter	7.625	85.6875	1.0625	27.45
98 Moss	4.3125	82.0625	1.0625	15.5625
00 Moss	4.8125	89.8125	0.9375	18.9375
01 Owens	5.8125	88.25	1	32.55
03 Moss	6.9375	102	1.0625	27.4375
07 Moss	6.125	93.3125	1.4375	18.3125
08 Fitzgerald	6	89.4375	0.75	28.8
09 Fitzgerald	6.0625	68.25	0.8125	18.1875
11 Megatron	5.8	90.2	1.8	16.6
11 Welker	9	148	1	57.6

Now what does this all mean? First, Wes Welker is #1 in every per-game stat shown above, and rightfully so. He's had an amazing year-to-date, and this could be a record-setting year for him as well. However, one of his stats points to a potential setback in Welker's season of greatness: his YAC/game is a whopping 57.6. This leads me to believe that Welker has been relatively lucky in breaking tackles and finding seams downfield after catching the ball, and I would expect that number to drop significantly toward the rest of the pack as the season progresses. So let's all realize that Wes Welker is having a great year, and then move on. Because this blogpost isn't about him.

Now, Megatron has only played in 5 of the Lions' 16 scheduled games this season, so the record books are far from his. But what I'm looking for is: how repeatable are these numbers for the rest of the season? Compared to the rest of the pack (of Hall of Fame NFL receivers...he's in good company), Johnson is right in the middle of the group in terms of receptions and yards per game. As for receiving touchdowns, Calvin trails only 1987 Jerry Rice in TDs/game, and in terms of YAC/game, Johnson is second-to-last.

My take on that set of numbers: Johnson's receptions and yards are consistent with other great receiving years, so they seem to be repeatable for the duration of the season. It would be amazing and unlikely for Megatron to continue hauling in TDs at the rate he is currently at, but there is room for improvement in the disparity of YAC Johnson is currently gaining per game. In addition to this, Detroit's lack of a punishing goal-line running back to finish off drives means that quarterback Matthew Stafford will be looking to Megatron more and more as the season progresses.

Allow me this one last giddy outpouring over these statistics: in 1987, Jerry Rice caught 22 touchdown passes and had 1078 receiving yards...in 12 games played. That season, he had only 65 receptions, which means that ONE out of every THREE passes he caught from Joe Montana that year went for a score. Many people have said this before, but analysis like this proves what the Naked-Eye Test has hypothesized: Jerry Rice is the greatest wide receiver of all time, and in my estimation the greatest football player who ever lived.

Seeing Johnson replicate what Rice did for most of his career, aka own opposing defensive backs, is truly something special. As a Detroit bandwagon jumper and a Calvin Johnson fantasy owner, I am a tiny bit biased in rooting for Megatron to continue his machine-like domination of opponents through the rest of this season. But hey, as a football fan, it's just a lot of fun to see history being made.

Fall TV Season Preview

The dog days of summer having wreaked havoc on the grass here in Houston. Seriously, H-Town has been dryer than Jay London's sense of humor. In addition to being light on rain, this summer has been pretty tame in terms of must-see television. However, there are quite a few televised events that are coming up that qualify (for me) as Must-See TV. Here's a look:

Baseball Playoffs, NFL Season, NCAA Football Season

Thankfully, God has rained sports manna down from heaven for fans across the nation: baseball games that matter, America's favorite sport, and a place for the people of Nebraska to go on Saturdays (namely, Memorial Stadium in Lincoln - the largest city in Nebraska when completely filled). The MLB playoffs are wild and crazy during the division series round, and from there the "Team of Destiny" stories help carry the suspense from game to game. The NFL, through only a week of regular season action, already has regained its stranglehold on Sunday activities. And for the cities and regions with a strong college football presence, fandom is crazier than that of the pro game, the week is spent trash talking with friends and neighbors, and lots of crow promises to be eaten throughout the season.

Jersey Shore
(MTV, in progress)

The 4th season of Jersey Shore is underway, as we observe The Guido Gang's adventures in Florence (or Firenze, for all native Italians scoring at home). So far, I think this season has been the best since the original season, and the language and culture barrier have provided the plot with enough twists and turns to make the show interesting again, which had been lost in seasons 2 and 3.

How I Met Your Mother
(CBS, premieres Sept. 19)

Entering the alleged penultimate season in the series' schedule, the show still seems to be miles away from its ending. It is my (shared, I'm sure) opinion that the final clip of the final episode of the series should be Ted meeting the future mother of his children, but there is nothing that leads me to believe that that can be anytime soon. This is my favorite sitcom on TV right now, and I love the cast top-to-bottom, especially Neil Patrick Harris and Jason Segel.

Glee
(Fox, premieres Sept. 20)

Say what you will about "the gayest show on television," but after recently getting caught up on the dram-com (just made that word up), I reinforced an opinion that I was wavering on: the out-of-this-world soundtrack more than makes up for the ridiculous-at-times plot structure. Look no further than the Justin Bieber episode (actual title - "Comeback") or the "Funeral" episode to see some amazing songs performed by amazing singers. I'm surprised to hear myself recommend this, but Glee is my sleeper pick for best show of a star-studded fall schedule.

Modern Family
(ABC, premieres Sept. 21)

I'm new to the Modern Family bandwagon. I just discovered it about two months ago, and absolutely ripped through the old episodes, all the while laughing like a school girl at the mayhem induced by the complicated family structure. My favorite characters have to be Phil and Mitchell, but really it's the same as choosing your favorite child: you go with the one whose coat-tails you can ride to fame. Or so I'm told.

The Sing-Off

(NBC, premieres Sept. 19)

The Sing-Off, a reality show-adaptation of the ever-popular Glee, has quickly risen in two seasons to be my favorite vocal-centric reality show (there are surprisingly quite a few shows that fit this rather specific category). They've made a great (in my opinion) personnel change in letting go of the Pussycat Dolls' Nicole Scherzinger and bringing in former a cappella groupist and pop darling Sara Bareilles to take over the female presence in the panel. The mix of eccentric personalities (so many faux-hawks!), attire (so many vests!), and choreography (so many jazz hands!) with the strong presence of popular, catchy tunes makes for fun, guilty pleasure TV. Plus, it's practically designed to make you fall in love with the contestants. The Sing-Off is my most-anxiously-awaited show, and I guarantee that if you try it, you won't be disappointed.

Upcoming shows on the horizon:
Mad Men (early 2012), NBA (currently locked out, TBA)